Fed’s Williams: Job market sending out mixed signals

Key takeaways:

The baseline outlook for the economy has been good

There’s a lot of uncertainty, but the economy has been more resilient than expected

Monetary policy is well positioned for “unusual circumstances”.

Tariffs and Iran war will push headline inflation higher.

Job market sending out mixed signals.

Low hiring rate might be boosting economic pessimism.

No signs of second-round inflation impact from tariffs.

Economy has been resilient among changes.

Expects inflation to end this year at 2.75%, back to 2% in 2027.

Expects US GDP to be 2.5% this year amid help from various factors.

Inflation expectations consistent with 2% inflation.

War could both push up inflation and depress growth.

Expects higher headline inflation near term on war, tariffs.

Economy facing “unusual set of circumstances”.

Expects the unemployment rate to edge down this year and next.

Tariffs and the Iran war will push up headline inflation.

Uncertainty around inflation’s path is high.”

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.

	USD	EUR	GBP	JPY	CAD	AUD	NZD	CHF
USD		0.44%	0.60%	-0.37%	0.23%	0.36%	0.56%	0.11%
EUR	-0.44%		0.15%	-0.77%	-0.19%	-0.04%	0.13%	-0.35%
GBP	-0.60%	-0.15%		-0.95%	-0.33%	-0.20%	-0.02%	-0.49%
JPY	0.37%	0.77%	0.95%		0.59%	0.74%	0.92%	0.45%
CAD	-0.23%	0.19%	0.33%	-0.59%		0.13%	0.27%	-0.15%
AUD	-0.36%	0.04%	0.20%	-0.74%	-0.13%		0.18%	-0.27%
NZD	-0.56%	-0.13%	0.02%	-0.92%	-0.27%	-0.18%		-0.47%
CHF	-0.11%	0.35%	0.49%	-0.45%	0.15%	0.27%	0.47%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).