• Pi Network extends its consolidation so far this week, trading around the $0.19 mark on Thursday.
• Traders remain cautious amid uncertainty over the US-Iran ceasefire talks.
• The technical outlook remains neutral, with a slight bearish tilt, as momentum indicators signal fading bullish strength.

Pi Network (PI) is stabilizing around $0.19 as of writing on Thursday and consolidating after the recent sell-off. The market sentiment remains cautious amid uncertainty over the US-Iran ceasefire deal. Meanwhile, the technical outlook suggests a mild bearish tilt toward the PI token.

US-Iran ceasefire deal remains uncertain

The ongoing talks about a potential ceasefire deal between the US and Iran remain highly uncertain. The latest developments came in on Thursday as US President Donald Trump reiterated that Iran is negotiating to end the war.

“They are negotiating, by the way, and they want to make a deal so badly. But they’re afraid to say it, because they figure they’ll be killed by their own people,” Trump said.

Meanwhile, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on state TV that his government had not engaged in talks to end the war, citing that “we do not plan on any negotiations.”

Apart from this, the deployment of additional US troops in the region raises the risk of further escalation of the conflict, which continues to weigh on risky assets such as Bitcoin, which falls below $70,000 as of writing on Thursday, while PI shows mild signs of weakness.

Traders should be cautious as negotiations around the ceasefire deal remain highly uncertain, with the latest news suggesting a slight negative outcome. If this scenario plays out, Pi Network could extend the correction in the coming days.

Other bearish signs

PiScan data below shows that the Pi Foundation moved 171K PI tokens in the last 24 hours. So far, these tokens have not yet been moved to exchanges. Traders should remain cautious, as any of these tokens move toward exchanges, and if more movements like these occur, they could increase supply and introduce short-term selling pressure.

In addition, Santiment’s Social Dominance metric for Pi Network also supports a bearish outlook. The index measures the share of PI-related discussions across the cryptocurrency media. It has resumed its broader downtrend and reads 0.022% on Thursday. This fall indicates fading market interest and sentiment among PI investors.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI price action shows early signs of weakness

Pi Network has been consolidating between the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) near $0.18 and $0.20, respectively, since Saturday, after failing to close above the 200-day EMA near $0.30 on March 13.

If PI breaks below the immediate support at $0.18, its 50-day EMA, it could extend the correction toward the daily support at $0.15.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is flattening around the neutral level of 50, indicating indecision among traders. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover on March 15, which remains intact, supporting a bearish outlook.

If PI recovers, it could extend the advance toward the 100-day EMA at $0.20.