Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends decline after failed recovery attempt

Monthly PI token unlock could boost bearish pressure

Monthly token unlocks in the Pi ecosystem raise the available Know Your Customer (KYC) verified supply in the market. PiScan data show that 169.80 million PI tokens are scheduled to be unlocked in June, which could add to selling pressure on Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) as investor demand appears low amid the ongoing decline.

PI token monthly unlock data. Source: PiScan

Technical outlook: Will the PI token price hit a new lower leg?

Pi Network trades below $0.1450 at press time on Tuesday, maintaining a bearish near-term bias. The PI token extends a bearish reversal after a mild 3% recovery on Sunday, which now threatens Thursday's low at $0.1412.

PI also holds below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart at $0.1467, the 100-period EMA at $0.1507, and the 200-period EMA at $0.1578, suggesting that rallies are likely to be capped. Meanwhile, momentum indicators echo the bearish tone as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39 on the same chart, indicating subdued demand, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is drifting slightly into negative territory below its signal line.

Looking down, a slip below $0.1412 could test the S2 Pivot Point at $0.1357, followed by its all-time low of $0.1310.

Chart Analysis PI/USD (baha Crypto) — PI/USD daily price chart.

On the topside, initial resistance is seen at the May 18 low of $0.1463, near the 50-period EMA at $0.1467, with further hurdles at the 100-period EMA at $0.1507, where a break would be needed to ease broader downside pressure.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Cryptocurrency prices FAQs

How do new token launches or listings affect cryptocurrency prices?

Token launches influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.

How do hacks affect cryptocurrency prices?

A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.

How do macroeconomic releases and events affect cryptocurrency prices?

Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence crypto assets mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.

How do major crypto upgrades like halvings, hard forks affect cryptocurrency prices?

Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs.