European Central Bank: War risks tilt policy hawkish – Rabobank
Von FXStreet Insights Team
Aktualisiert: 11 Jun 2026
BELIEBTE ARTIKEL
Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every argues that with war risks in the Middle East, the European Central Bank (ECB) faces greater dangers from inaction than from tightening too far.
Rabobank’s Global Strategist Michael Every argues that with war risks in the Middle East, the European Central Bank (ECB) faces greater dangers from inaction than from tightening too far. Every expects the ECB to revise inflation forecasts higher, acknowledge weaker growth, and still deliver a 25bp rate hike to take the deposit rate to 2.25%, with another move likely in September.
War risk keeps ECB on guard
"Today has the ECB meeting, where with war in the Middle East we see the risks of inaction now greater than the risks of potentially hiking in error."
"Our own inflation forecasts suggest the ECB will revise its own inflation projections up significantly, while the growth may be weaker than its staff projected in March."
"We therefore think the ECB will hike by 25bp, taking the deposit rate to 2.25% and have pencilled in one additional hike, which we believe is now most likely in September."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)
Über eine Million Nutzer verlassen sich auf FXStreet für Echtzeit-Marktdaten, Charting-Tools, Experteneinblicke und Forex-News. Der umfassende Wirtschaftskalender und die Bildungs-Webinare helfen Tradern, informiert zu bleiben und fundierte Entscheidungen zu treffen. FXStreet wird von einem Team von rund 60 Fachleuten getragen, verteilt auf den Hauptsitz in Barcelona und verschiedene Regionen weltweit.
Weiterlesen
