USD: Squeeze risk on geopolitical escalation – OCBC
Von FXStreet Insights Team
Veröffentlichungsdatum: 24 Feb 2026 | Änderungsdatum: 24 Feb 2026
BELIEBTE ARTIKEL
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue that conditions for a sustained US Dollar rebound remain absent, but heavy speculative shorts leave the currency vulnerable to a squeeze.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue that conditions for a sustained US Dollar rebound remain absent, but heavy speculative shorts leave the currency vulnerable to a squeeze. Safe-haven demand and US net energy exporter status could temporarily lift the Dollar if US–Iran tensions escalate and Oil prices spike, though President Trump is seen as unlikely to allow a destabilising escalation before midterms.
Positioning leaves USD exposed to spikes
"While conditions for a sustained USD rebound are still lacking, positioning creates squeeze risk."
"With CFTC data showing heavy USD shorts, safe-haven demand and the US’s position as a net energy exporter could push the USD temporarily higher if US–Iran tensions escalate and oil prices spike."
"That said, President Trump is unlikely to allow a sharp escalation that undermines US financial markets heading into the midterms."
"One implication of IEEPA’s invalidation is that it may reduce the USD’s medium-term risk premium, as alternative tariff authorities are typically less discretionary, making rapid “tariff on/tariff off” swings less likely."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)
Über eine Million Nutzer verlassen sich auf FXStreet für Echtzeit-Marktdaten, Charting-Tools, Experteneinblicke und Forex-News. Der umfassende Wirtschaftskalender und die Bildungs-Webinare helfen Tradern, informiert zu bleiben und fundierte Entscheidungen zu treffen. FXStreet wird von einem Team von rund 60 Fachleuten getragen, verteilt auf den Hauptsitz in Barcelona und verschiedene Regionen weltweit.
Weiterlesen
