美元/离岸人民币:反弹遇阻 – 华侨银行
美元/离岸人民币连续第三个交易日小幅走强,跟踪再次上调的美元/人民币中间价——今天为7.1108,周二为7.1089,周一为7.1072,较上周五的7.1030有所上升。华侨银行外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出,最新汇率为7.1451。

美元/离岸人民币连续第三个交易日小幅走强,跟踪再次上调的美元/人民币中间价——今天为7.1108,周二为7.1089,周一为7.1072,较上周五的7.1030有所上升。华侨银行外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出,最新汇率为7.1451。

美元/离岸人民币短期反弹风险

"这一系列更高的美元/人民币中间价打断了之前5天的下调趋势。日线图上的看跌动能依然存在,但显示出温和减弱的迹象,同时RSI从超卖状态回升。周五的价格形态中观察到的倒锤头可能暗示短期内的看涨反转。"

"考虑到相对较大的下跌(在多周的时间范围内),我们继续提示美元/离岸人民币短期反弹的风险。此处阻力位在7.1460(2024年低点到2025年高点的61.8%斐波那契回撤位)、7.1720/40水平(21日、50日移动平均线)和7.20水平(100日移动平均线,50%斐波那契回撤位)。支撑位在7.1160(近期低点)、7.11水平。"

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