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欧元/美元在接近1.1780阻力位停滞后回落 – 布朗兄弟哈里曼

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欧元/美元承压，因为法国政治不确定性加剧。信任投票失败和总理弗朗索瓦·巴伊鲁的辞职突显了议会内部的深刻分歧，扩大了OAT-Bund利差，尽管由于风险的局部性质，欧元下行仍然受到限制，布朗兄弟哈里曼外汇分析师报告称。

欧元/美元承压，因为法国政治不确定性加剧。信任投票失败和总理弗朗索瓦·巴伊鲁的辞职突显了议会内部的深刻分歧，扩大了OAT-Bund利差，尽管由于风险的局部性质，欧元下行仍然受到限制，布朗兄弟哈里曼外汇分析师报告称。

巴伊鲁总理在信任投票失败后辞职

"欧元/美元在隔夜触及近1.1780的多周高点后，交易处于防御状态。从技术上看，欧元/美元在1.1789（7月24日高点）和1.1829（7月1日高点）面临强劲阻力。由于法国政治不确定性加剧，法国OAT-德国Bund收益率利差扩大至近期高点附近的82个基点。"

"正如广泛预期的那样，法国总理弗朗索瓦·巴伊鲁昨天在议会失去了信任动议。总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙的办公室表示，他将接受巴伊鲁的辞职，并在未来几天任命一位新总理——这是自2024年6月的快闪议会选举以来的第四位总理。"

"无论下一位总理是谁，政治僵局使得财政可持续性几乎不可能实现。法国国民议会内部严重分裂，没有任何一个政党拥有明确的多数。底线是：法国的政治动荡可能进一步扩大法国OAT-德国Bund收益率利差，但由于情况仍然是国家特有的而非系统性的，因此不太可能对欧元产生实质性压力。"

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