USD/CAD: Range seen intact above 1.3600 – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad notes USD/CAD is directionless around 1.3675 ahead of Canada’s Q4 GDP release, with consensus expecting a modest contraction versus the Bank of Canada’s stall forecast.

Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad notes USD/CAD is directionless around 1.3675 ahead of Canada’s Q4 GDP release, with consensus expecting a modest contraction versus the Bank of Canada’s stall forecast. Haddad argues easing core inflation allows the BOC to keep rates steady, and he expects USD/CAD to hold above 1.3600 near term with resistance at 1.3800.

BOC steady stance underpins range trade

"USD/CAD is directionless around 1.3675."

"The Bank of Canada (BOC) estimates real GDP growth to stall after rising 2.6% SAAR in Q3 because of inventory destocking. Consensus is more downbeat with a -0.2% SAAR decline in Q4 penciled in. "

"The BOC is in good position to keep the policy rate on hold at 2.25% for some time as core inflation pressures have eased and tracking the bank’s projection."

"The swaps curve price-in steady rates over the next twelve months."

"USD/CAD will likely hold above 1.3600 in the near term, with resistance offered at 1.3800 (the 200-day moving average)."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Acuity Trading is a London-based fintech company founded in 2013 that specializes in AI-powered alternative data and sentiment analysis for trading and investments. They revolutionized the online trading experience by introducing visual news and sentiment tools, and today they continue to lead the fintech market with alpha-generating alternative data and highly engaging trading tools using the latest AI research and technology.
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