澳元/美元保持稳定,第二季度国内生产总值(GDP)超出预期 – 布朗兄弟哈里曼
澳元/美元在 0.6520 附近窄幅交易。澳大利亚第二季度实际国内生产总值(GDP)增长超出预期,布朗兄弟哈里曼外汇分析师报告。

澳元/美元在 0.6520 附近窄幅交易。澳大利亚第二季度实际国内生产总值(GDP)增长超出预期,布朗兄弟哈里曼外汇分析师报告。

强劲增长后,澳储行降息押注被削减

“实际国内生产总值环比增长 0.6%(市场共识:0.5%),而第一季度为 0.3%(从 0.2% 上修),主要受家庭消费、政府最终消费支出和净出口的推动。公共投资是增长的最大拖累因素。澳储行现金利率期货削减了未来 12 个月降息 50 个基点的押注。”

“无论如何,澳大利亚 8 月份的就业数据将于 9 月 18 日公布,将成为推动澳储行利率预期的更大因素。澳储行指出,现金利率的下降速度将主要受劳动力市场状况的影响。7 月份的劳动力报告显示全职就业稳健增长,支持逐步降息的路径,使澳元/美元在其多个月的 0.6400-0.6600 区间内保持稳定。”


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