澳大利亚:谨慎的RBA维持利率不变 – 大华银行集团
正如预期,澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)在今年最后一次会议上决定将现金利率目标维持在3.60%不变。该决定在9名董事会成员中获得一致通过。大华银行集团经济学家李秀安指出,RBA此前在今年已将现金利率从年初的4.35%下调了三次,每次25个基点。

正如预期,澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)在今年最后一次会议上决定将现金利率目标维持在3.60%不变。该决定在9名董事会成员中获得一致通过。大华银行集团经济学家李秀安指出,RBA此前在今年已将现金利率从年初的4.35%下调了三次,每次25个基点。

澳大利亚中央银行在经济演变中发出谨慎信号

“正如预期,澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)在今年最后一次会议上决定将现金利率目标维持在3.60%不变,此前在今年早些时候进行了三次25个基点的降息,理由是通胀上行风险和在不断变化的经济数据中采取谨慎态度。”

“中央银行指出了通胀上行风险、私人需求的恢复以及仍然紧张的劳动力市场;同时继续密切关注全球和国内的发展,以指导决策,优先考虑价格稳定和充分就业。”

“我们预计恢复消费者需求将成为未来的主要问题,这可能需要更宽松的政策立场和额外的降息。目前,我们预计RBA将在2026年上半年再降息两次,每次25个基点。”


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