澳元/美元:在强劲的就业数据下突破0.6800 – BBH
澳大利亚美元(AUD)表现优异,澳元/美元在强劲的12月份就业报告显示新增65.2K个职位和失业率降至4.1%后突破0.6800,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

澳大利亚美元(AUD)表现优异,澳元/美元在强劲的12月份就业报告显示新增65.2K个职位和失业率降至4.1%后突破0.6800,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

澳大利亚央行加息押注在2月份会议前激增

"澳元表现优异,而澳元/美元突破了0.6800的心理阻力位。澳大利亚的12月份就业报告强劲。经济新增的职位超过预期,达到65.2K(共识:27K),而11月份为-28.7K。全职就业激增54.8K,部分弥补了11月份的损失,而兼职就业在11月份增加36.6K后再增加10.4K。"

"失业率意外下降0.2个百分点至4.1%(共识:4.3%),远低于澳大利亚央行年末预测的4.4%。与此同时,参与率上升0.1个百分点至66.7%,以及工作小时数环比上升0.4%表明劳动力市场条件略微收紧。"

"对即将于2月3日召开的会议上将澳大利亚央行利率提高25个基点至3.85%的押注翻倍至60%。如果下周的12月份CPI数据显示修剪均值通胀超过澳大利亚央行3.2%的年率预测,这可能会为2月份的加息敲定协议,并推动澳元大幅上涨。"

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