加元保持周度涨幅 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大元(CAD)疲软,兑美元(USD)小幅下跌0.1%,但在除日元(JPY)外的所有G10货币中表现相对较好,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告。

加拿大元(CAD)疲软,兑美元(USD)小幅下跌0.1%,在所有G10货币中表现相对较好,唯独日元(JPY)除外,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

加拿大央行的前景保持中性

“加拿大元以0.5%的涨幅结束本周,受到基本面和相对央行政策前景的支持,因美联储宽松预期的恢复导致利率差缩小。加拿大央行的前景保持中性,短期利率市场对2026年10月之前的政策变化几乎没有定价。”

“市场对本周阿尔伯塔省联邦能源计划的公布反应平淡,可能在权衡这一公告与对一系列钢铁产品征收新关税之间的影响。我们对美元/加元的公允价值估计目前为1.3915,近期在其区间内小幅走软。”

“近期价格走势确认了1.4100附近阻力的重要性,最新的回调使我们将注意力转向短期下行风险,重点关注50日移动平均线(MA)在1.4005。相对强弱指数(RSI)已放弃其温和的看涨偏向,回到50的中性阈值,打开了进入看跌区域的可能性。我们保持中性,除非跌破50日移动平均线,并预计在1.3980和1.4080之间的短期区间。”

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