美联储(Fed)沃勒:劳动力市场仍然疲软
美联储(Fed)理事会成员克里斯托弗-沃勒(Christopher Waller)在周五发布的声明中表示,他本周支持降息25个基点的意见,因为货币政策仍然过度限制经济活动

美国联邦储备委员会(美联储)理事会成员克里斯托弗·沃勒(Christopher Waller)在周五发布的声明中表示,他在本周支持降息25个基点的决定,因为货币政策仍然过度限制经济活动。

关键要点

在上次会议上支持降息25个基点,因为政策仍然过度限制活动。

尽管经济增长稳健,但劳动力市场仍然疲软。

劳动力市场看起来远未健康,虽然供应是一个因素,但需求疲弱。

由于关税,通胀水平较高,但考虑到预期稳定,货币政策应忽视这些影响。

预计去年的就业数据将被下调,以反映2025年几乎没有工资就业增长。

政策应更接近中性,可能在3%左右,而当前利率区间为3.50%至3.75%。

听说2026年计划进行多次裁员,对就业增长存在相当大的怀疑,并且有显著的风险可能出现大幅恶化。

不包括关税的通胀接近美联储2%的目标,并有望达到该目标。


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