美元:反弹停滞,劳动力疑虑加剧 – MUFG
三菱东京日联银行(MUFG)的 Lee Hardman 指出,美元在美元指数跌回 97.000 之下后走弱,卖压与美国劳动力市场预期疲软以及对美国国债的多元化担忧有关。市场预计到 2027 年底将有约 58 个基点的额外美联储宽松,下一次降息预计在新任美联储主席上任后进行。

三菱东京日联银行(MUFG)的 Lee Hardman 指出,美元在美元指数跌回 97.000 之下后走弱,卖压与美国劳动力市场预期疲软以及对美国国债的多元化担忧有关。市场预计到 2027 年底将有约 58 个基点的额外美联储宽松,下一次降息预计在新任美联储主席上任后进行。

美元因劳动力和资金流动而走软

"美元在本周初调整走低后,昨晚继续在较弱水平交易。"

"如果劳动力需求持续疲软,将维持市场对美联储今年进一步降息的预期。"

"美国利率市场正在定价更多的美联储降息,目前预计到明年年底将有约 58 个基点的宽松。"

"然而,下一次降息的时机预计要等到新任美联储主席在 6 月 FOMC 会议上就位后。"

"与昨天的美元不同,美国国债市场没有出现抛售,表明市场参与者对该报告并不太担忧。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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