美元:就业数据将影响美联储(Fed)的下一步行动 – 道明证券
道明证券(TD Securities)的全球策略团队强调,即将发布的就业数据将在确定美联储下次降息的时机上至关重要。关键报告包括周二的JOLTS、周三的ADP以及周五的NFP/失业数据。市场目前正在定价更为鸽派的美联储,因为凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)被提名为下一任美联储主席。

道明证券(TD Securities)的全球策略团队强调,即将发布的就业数据将在确定美联储下次降息的时机上至关重要。关键报告包括周二的JOLTS、周三的ADP以及周五的NFP/失业数据。市场目前正在定价更为鸽派的美联储,因为凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)被提名为下一任美联储主席。

关注即将发布的就业数据

“本周,我们将获得每月的就业数据。重点将是周二的JOLTS、周三的ADP以及周五的NFP/失业数据。这些数据对于确定美联储下次降息的时机至关重要。”

“特朗普总统宣布他将提名凯文·沃什为下一任美联储主席,这导致国债收益率曲线出现陡峭化。2026年底/2027年初的远期合约受到的影响最大,因为市场定价了更为鸽派的美联储的可能性,而长期收益率因美联储信誉降低和凯文·沃什历史上反对使用美联储资产负债表的组合而上升。”

“尽管新任美联储主席的提名和意外上升的PPI,利率市场相对其他跨市场动向仍然保持稳定。”

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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