美元/日元:日本主导的抛售面临FOMC考验 – 星展银行
星展银行研究分析师Philip Wee讨论了在日本政策风险引发的全球美元抛售中,美元/日元的最新动态。报告强调了50日移动平均线的重要性以及即将召开的FOMC会议,这可能会影响美元的走势。

星展银行研究分析师Philip Wee讨论了在日本政策风险引发的全球美元抛售中,美元/日元的最新动态。报告强调了50日移动平均线的重要性以及即将召开的FOMC会议,这可能会影响美元的走势。

全球抛售中的美元/日元动态

“将美元/日元描述为全球美元抛售的主导者是相对公平的,这一抛售始于上周五。最初的冲动并不是来自美国的数据或美联储预期的变化,而是来自于日本特有的政策风险,例如怀疑的日元干预、纽约联储的利率检查传言,以及对高企的美元/日元水平的国内政治敏感性加剧,尤其是在日本首相高市早苗呼吁提前选举之后。”

“美元/日元跌破50日移动平均线(周一为156.60),DXY的后续下跌推动了G10和亚洲货币的反弹。随着市场关注周三晚上的FOMC,预计将传达出更少鸽派的信息,描绘出稳定的美国劳动力市场、超出目标的通胀和韧性的增长,这有助于减缓美元抛售的势头。”

“尽管跌破了12月的低点154.35,美元/日元并未跌破10月的高点153.30,并在隔夜收于154.18。进一步下行的主要障碍是100日移动平均线(目前位于153.80),自7月以来一直作为强有力的技术支撑。”

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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