美元/新加坡元:双向交易接近强劲的名义有效汇率 – OCBC
华侨银行(OCBC)策略师沈茂雄和Christopher Wong指出,美元/新加坡元在近期低点附近交易于低迷区间,疲软的美国CPI和劳动力数据维持了市场对美联储降息的预期,这对美元构成了压力

华侨银行策略师沈茂雄和Christopher Wong指出,美元/新加坡元在近期低点附近交易,疲软的美国CPI和劳动数据使美联储降息预期保持不变,并对美元施加压力。更强的日元和人民币,加上对新加坡金融管理局(MAS)收紧政策的预期,使名义有效汇率指数(S$NEER)保持在其区间的强势一侧,这表明美元/新加坡元的进一步下行将是渐进的,1.2590为支撑位,1.2670–1.2710为阻力位。

区间震荡的货币对,有限下行空间

"美元/新加坡元交易在一个疲软的区间,接近近期低点。"

"由于市场对MAS收紧政策的预期保持不变,我们应该预期S$NEER将继续徘徊在其区间的强势一侧。"

"但这也意味着,除非我们看到美元再次普遍疲软,否则美元/新加坡元的进一步下行将变得更加渐进。"

"在缺乏新催化剂的情况下,仍然预期双向交易。"

"支撑位在1.2590(1月低点)。"

"阻力位在1.2670,1.2710(21日移动平均线)。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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