美元在美联储会议后继续下滑,美元指数接近98.00 - 荷兰国际集团
美美元(USD)在美联储会议后进一步走弱,美元指数(DXY)收于98.00附近,因利率预期下调和季节性压力加大了看跌情绪,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗蒂塞克·塔博斯基(Frantisek Taborsky)指出。

美美元(USD)在美联储会议后进一步走弱,美元指数(DXY)收于98.00附近,因利率预期下调和季节性压力加大了看跌情绪,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗蒂塞克·塔博斯基(Frantisek Taborsky)指出。

美联储利率预期下调和季节性因素对美元施压

“在周三晚上的美联储会议后,美元昨日延续下跌,DXY收于98.00附近,接近我们的预期。”

“我们认为,看跌的风向不仅来自利率,还来自年底的季节性因素。美元利率再次调整了美联储的预期,2年期利率降至3.50%,市场预计明年年底美联储的终端利率为3.05%,这对美元施加了压力。”

“今天的美国日历没有太多内容,市场在风险事件后应该会有所稳定。另一方面,来自股市的风险规避情绪应该会为美元提供一些支撑。总体来看,我们认为DXY在98.350附近,略微下行至98.200是合理的。”

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