挪威克朗:降息被认为不在考虑范围内 – 德国商业银行
德国商业银行(Commerzbank)的安杰·普雷夫克指出,挪威1月份的通胀强劲,整体通胀为3.6%,核心通胀为3.4%(同比),这确认了挪威央行目前不会考虑降息。

德国商业银行(Commerzbank)的安杰·普雷夫克(Antje Praefcke)指出,挪威1月份的通胀强劲,整体通胀率为3.6%,核心通胀率为3.4%,这确认了挪威央行(Norges Bank)目前不会降息。普雷夫克表示,挪威克朗(NOK)因数据和油价上涨而获得了上涨,并强调如果克朗要保持近期的涨幅,实际利率不能进一步下降。

更高的通胀支持NOK和利率

“根据挪威1月份的通胀数据,即使是那些在挪威央行最近声明后仍然持怀疑态度的人,现在也应该意识到挪威央行暂时不会降息。这是因为通胀率同比上升至3.6%(整体通胀率)和3.4%(核心通胀率)。”

“更重要的是潜在趋势,即季节性调整后的月度变化率。在这里也很明显,通胀压力过高,无法与通胀目标保持一致,也不允许挪威央行放松警惕。”

“在昨天的公告后,挪威克朗显著上涨。然而,油价在过去几天再次上涨,可能提供了额外的动力。尽管如此,重要的是实际利率(由于通胀上升)不能进一步下降,以便挪威克朗能够维持其涨幅。”

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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