欧元/美元:从上个月底开始的欧元的上涨已结束 – 大华银行
欧元(EUR)面临温和的下行压力,可能会小幅下跌并测试1.1600;明显跌破该水平的可能性不大。长期来看,上个月底以来欧元的上涨已结束;大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出,欧元可能在1.1580和1.1685之间交易。

欧元(EUR)面临温和的下行压力,可能会小幅下跌并测试1.1600;明显跌破该水平的可能性不大。长期来看,上个月底以来欧元的上涨已结束;大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出,欧元可能在1.1580和1.1685之间交易。

欧元可能在1.1580和1.1685之间交易

24小时展望:“两天前,欧元收盘小幅下跌0.05%,报1.1636。昨天,我们指出‘价格走势并未导致下行或上行动能的增加’。我们预计欧元将在1.1615和1.1665之间交易。尽管欧元的交易区间比预期的窄(1.1614/1.1657),但我们并没有错,最终收盘略低于1.1625(-0.09%)。这一次,下行动能略有增加。今天,欧元可能会小幅下跌并测试1.1600。考虑到温和的下行动能,明显跌破该水平的可能性不大。主要支撑位1.1580也不太可能受到威胁。阻力位在1.1640;若突破1.1660,将表明当前的温和下行压力已减轻。”

1-3周展望:“自上个月底以来,我们一直持有积极的欧元观点。在我们两天前的最新叙述中(12月8日,现货1.1645),我们指出‘上行动能开始减缓,如果欧元跌破1.1615(‘强支撑’水平),这将意味着欧元的上涨已结束’。两天前,欧元跌至1.1615,昨天跌至1.1614。尽管我们的‘强支撑’水平尚未明显突破,但上行动能已减弱。从这里来看,我们预计欧元将在一个区间内交易,最有可能在1.1580和1.1685之间。”

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