新加坡元:新加坡金融管理局的紧缩路径支持该货币 – 渣打银行
渣打银行的Edward Lee和Jonathan Koh预计,新加坡金融管理局将在4月将新元NEER斜率上调50bps,部分逆转2025年上半年预防性宽松,同时保持区间不变。

渣打银行的Edward Lee和Jonathan Koh预计,新加坡金融管理局将在4月将新元NEER斜率上调50个基点,部分逆转2025年上半年预防性宽松措施,同时保持汇率区间不变。他们指出油价上涨、通胀预期上调以及新加坡的避险地位,并倾向于在新元NEER位于政策中点上方约1.0–1.5%时逢低买入。

MAS立场支撑新加坡元

“我们预计新加坡金融管理局(MAS)将在4月将新元NEER斜率上调50个基点,达到年化+1.0%,同时保持中心点和±2%的政策区间不变。”

“鉴于油价上涨,我们将2026年核心和整体通胀预测均从此前的1.5%上调至2.5%。”

“总体来看,我们预计MAS将首先部分取消2025年的预防性宽松措施,然后评估中东局势的发展。”

“我们维持对新元相较区域货币的建设性展望。”

“因此,我们倾向于在新元NEER位于政策区间中点上方约1.0-1.5%时逢低买入。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,经过编辑审核。)

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