加元跌破1.41 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大元(CAD)今天早晨继续走低,导致其相对于美元(USD)表现相对疲软,损失为0.2%,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

加拿大元(CAD)今天早晨继续走低,导致其相对于美元(USD)表现相对疲软,损失为0.2%,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

CAD普遍表现不佳

“正如预期的那样,联邦预算提出了在住房、国防、基础设施以及生产力和竞争力方面的重大支出,旨在促进投资和提升增长。然而,赤字的规模相当可观,当前财政年度的赤字预计将上升至780亿加元(远高于去年12月前政府预测的420亿加元)。”

“少数派政府需要帮助才能通过预算立法,但在这一点上再次举行选举似乎非常不可能。CAD似乎并不感兴趣,现货收益再次显著偏离我们的公允价值估计(1.3917),偏差幅度远超一个标准差。”

“现货美元在1.4080阻力位(现在是初始支撑位)上方的涨幅已被标记为风险已有一段时间,而美元今晨突破1.41关口则指向进一步升值至1.4160区域(美元在2月/6月下跌的50%回撤位为1.4167)。”

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