加元对美元反弹,稳定在1.37低位区域 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大元(CAD)在本次交易中略有上涨,但在G-10大宗商品同行中表现稍显滞后,加拿大丰业银行首席外汇策略师肖恩·奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克·西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)指出。

加拿大元(CAD)在本次交易中略有上涨,但在G-10大宗商品同行中表现稍显滞后,加拿大丰业银行首席外汇策略师肖恩·奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克·西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)指出。

现货跌幅可能在1.3728附近企稳

“截至目前,加元上涨0.1%,而澳元和纽元均上涨约0.4%,在全球风险偏好增强(以及由于中国人民银行早前的人民币汇率定价强于预期,区域货币走强)中,位于主要货币隔夜表现表的顶部。

“原油价格今天趋于稳定,但本周的剧烈损失可能对加元构成阻力,而近期美加利差的缩小也已停滞。美元/加元的公允价值今天略微下滑至1.3618,但贸易不确定性可能导致加元难以缩小与其均衡估计之间的差距,除非美元的抛售加速。七月Ivey PMI(六月份报告为53.3)将在东部时间10点发布。”

“美元/加元已回吐了大约一半的七月底反弹,现货在早盘交易中在50%斐波那契回撤支撑位1.3728附近企稳。早期价格走势表明,现货损失在短期内可能在此点附近企稳。然而,上周五价格走势的大幅美元看跌反转表明,仍然可能(如果不是很可能的话)出现更多下行走势。日内阻力位为1.3775/00。”

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