加元缺乏动力突破1.40 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大元(CAD)在盘中变化不大,现货价格仍然在1.40点附近徘徊,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

加拿大元(CAD)在盘中变化不大,现货价格仍然在1.40点附近徘徊,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

CAD保持区间

“从长期角度和我们短期公允价值估计的角度来看,当前水平的CAD仍然显得相对‘便宜’。模型显示今晨的公允价值为1.3871,这使得美元仍然交易在均衡水平之上约一个标准差。”

“CAD缺乏吸引力反映了增长乏力和持续的贸易不确定性。除非出现更具说服力的基本面驱动因素,否则CAD的基本面改善似乎不太可能。加拿大央行副行长文森特(Vincent)将在12:45ET就生产力发表讲话。准备好的评论将在12:30ET发布,并将进行观众问答。”

“现货价格在1.40点附近保持区间震荡。昨日美元的相对大幅下跌对1.39上方的支撑施加了压力,但CAD未能守住这些涨幅。美元/加元从昨日盘中高点的下跌至少应加强1.4060/80区间的短期阻力。支撑位略微下移至1.3975/80。”

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