美国通胀数据是否正在减缓金价? - 德国商业银行
黄金价格持续上涨,在新一周开始时创下新纪录,目前为每盎司3660美元,德国商业银行外汇和商品研究主管阮氏兰指出。

黄金价格持续上涨,在新一周开始时创下新纪录,目前为每盎司3660美元,德国商业银行外汇和商品研究主管阮氏兰指出。

黄金将进一步上涨

“关于美国降息的投机是此次上涨的主要驱动因素。上周五发布的美国劳动力市场报告(再次)令人意外地疲软。8月份仅创造了22,000个就业岗位,而前一个月的增幅已经非常疲弱,约为80,000个岗位。因此,劳动力市场的情况在短时间内显著恶化。”

“美联储下周25个基点的降息现在已完全被市场定价。一些人甚至认为可能会有更大的举动。然而,如果本周即将发布的美国通胀数据出现意外的价格上涨,投机情绪可能会显著减弱。到目前为止,由于美国关税导致的消费者价格上涨比预期的要温和。”

“大多数人可能会认为价格将继续逐步上涨。在这种背景下,如果通胀数据出现显著的价格飙升,市场将有很大的潜力进行剧烈修正。另一方面,如果数据意外疲软,市场可能会更重地押注于50个基点的加息,从而推动黄金进一步上涨。”

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