美元/加元在多月高位附近盘整 – BBH
美元/加元在加拿大10月份就业报告发布前,维持在1.4100以上的多月高位,BBH外汇分析师报告称,该报告将考验加拿大央行在上周降息25个基点后的指引。

美元/加元在加拿大10月份就业报告发布前,维持在1.4100以上的多月高位,BBH外汇分析师报告称,该报告将考验加拿大央行在上周降息25个基点后的指引。

加拿大央行的宽松预期受到高通胀的限制

"美元/加元在1.4100以上的多月高位附近盘整。加拿大10月份的劳动力调查是焦点(伦敦时间下午1:30,纽约时间上午8:30)。该数据将挑战加拿大央行(BOC)在上周将政策利率下调25个基点至2.25%后可能结束宽松的指引。"

"预计经济在10月份将失去5000个就业岗位,此前9月份强劲增加了60400个岗位,失业率预计将连续第三个月维持在四年来的高点7.1%。加拿大央行的第三季度商业前景调查显示,未来12个月的招聘意向低迷。"

"我们对加拿大央行会将政策利率削减至其估计的中性区间下限2.25%至3.25%以下表示怀疑,这限制了加元的下行空间。加拿大政府开启财政支出以资助资本投资的增加,而潜在通胀持续高企。掉期市场预计未来12个月内降息25个基点的概率为44%,并预计未来两年内将加息。"

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