欧盟天然气市场在大量做空中面临冬季风险 - 荷兰国际集团
转向天然气,最新的持仓数据显示,投资基金在过去一周将其在TTF的净多头削减了24.8TWh,降至21.4TWh,这是自2024年3月以来持有的最小净多头,荷兰国际集团(ING)商品专家Ewa Manthey和Warren Patterson指出

转向天然气,最新的持仓数据显示,投资基金在过去一周将其在TTF的净多头削减了24.8TWh,降至21.4TWh,这是自2024年3月以来持有的最小净多头,ING的商品专家Ewa Manthey和Warren Patterson指出。

投资者增加欧盟碳配额头寸

"事实上,投资基金的总空头达到了393TWh以上的历史高位,尽管欧洲在2025/26年冬季的供需平衡仍然脆弱,储存量为83%,而五年平均水平为92%。大规模的总空头确实在市场上留下了一些持仓风险,特别是在供暖季节出现任何意外情况时。"

"最后,考虑到过去一周欧盟配额(EUAs)市场的强劲表现,投资基金将其在EUAs的净多头增加了2.6k份合约,达到96.5k份合约,这是自2021年5月以来持有的最大头寸。鉴于本周迄今为止EUAs的进一步强劲表现,基金可能进一步增加了其净多头。预计到2026年,EUA市场的前景是积极的,明年的供应将显著收紧。"

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