随着工资增长放缓,欧元/美元在1.1500下方交易 – BBH
欧元/美元在1.1500下方承压,欧洲央行工资数据指向薪资增长放缓,强化了市场对央行将维持利率不变的预期,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

欧元/美元在1.1500下方承压,欧洲央行工资数据指向薪资增长放缓,强化了市场对央行将维持利率不变的预期,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

欧洲央行工资追踪器信号显示薪资压力降温

"欧元/美元在1.1500下方交易疲软。欧洲央行的谈判工资追踪器指向较低且更稳定的工资压力,与欧洲央行2%的通胀目标一致。包含未平滑一次性支付的工资追踪器——与欧洲央行的谈判工资指标密切匹配——显示2025年平均谈判工资增长为3.0%(同比),而2024年为4.9%,预计到2026年第三季度进一步降至2.2%。"

"底线:欧洲央行在维持利率不变方面处于良好位置。这限制了欧元/美元的下行空间。接下来的两个关键支撑位分别为1.1392(8月1日低点)和1.1334(200日移动平均线)。"

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