欧元:欧元关注和平谈判信号作为关键驱动因素 – 荷兰国际集团
欧元(EUR)交易仍然受到俄罗斯-乌克兰和平谈判进展的驱动,今天的维特科夫-普京会议被视为关键。荷兰国际集团外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱指出,欧元区CPI的疲软不太可能改变欧洲央行的预期,如果美元(USD)走弱,EUR/USD有望重新测试1.1700。

欧元(EUR)交易仍然受到俄罗斯-乌克兰和平谈判进展的驱动,今天的维特科夫-普京会议被视为关键。荷兰国际集团外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱指出,欧元区CPI的疲软不太可能改变欧洲央行的预期,如果美元(USD)走弱,EUR/USD有望重新测试1.1700。

维特科夫-普京会议成为欧元信心的焦点

"本周俄罗斯-乌克兰和平谈判的发展仍然是欧元最相关的话题。随着美国特使史蒂夫-维特科夫今天与普京总统会面,我们应该能更清楚地了解我们距离达成任何协议有多近。"

"在宏观方面,今天的CPI不应该对欧洲央行的利率预期产生重大影响。然而,我们预计这份11月的快报估计将显示整体CPI从2.1%放缓至2.0%,核心CPI从2.4%放缓至2.3%,这两个数据均比市场共识低0.1个百分点。"

"如果有的话,欧元的风险略微偏向下行,但我们预计这不会对外汇产生中性影响,如果美元按照我们的预测下跌,EUR/USD很快可以再次瞄准1.1700。"

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