人民币再次走强 – 德国商业银行
德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇分析师沃尔克马尔·鲍尔(Volkmar Baur)指出,自杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)讲话以来,人民币(CNY)对美元(USD)上涨了约0.3%。

德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇分析师沃尔克马尔·鲍尔(Volkmar Baur)指出,自杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)讲话以来,人民币(CNY)对美元(USD)上涨了约0.3%。

美元/人民币汇率略微下调的道路已清晰

“乍一看,这似乎并不算太多。然而,对于人民币来说,这是一项相当重要的变动。尤其是因为市场汇率的变动伴随着央行的相应调高的中间价。因此,人民币的升值可以说是得到了当局的‘认可’。”

“在最近几周,我们看到对美元的中间价稳步走强。然而,市场汇率并没有真正跟随其后。因此,中间价与市场汇率之间的差距越来越大。几乎看起来中国央行想向市场发出信号,表示愿意允许美元/人民币汇率走强。然而,市场对此并不完全信任。随着美联储主席周五的鸽派讲话,这种情况似乎在今天早上有所改变。”

“中间价的调整幅度比自一月份以来的任何时候都要显著,人民币的市场汇率也有所改善。因此,未来几周美元/人民币汇率略微下调的道路似乎已清晰,从而使人民币对美元略微走强。然而,如果这与美元走弱相伴随,人民币对欧元的贬值仍然是可能的。”

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