日元:核心通胀持续高企,令日本央行十月加息仍有可能 - 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团外汇分析师Chris Turner指出,日本核心通胀持续以3.4%的同比增速运行,暗示日本央行将在10月份加息。

荷兰国际集团外汇分析师Chris Turner指出,日本核心通胀持续以3.4%的同比增速运行,暗示日本央行将在10月份加息。

美元/日元将在美联储会议前重新逼近146.00

"10月份加息25个基点的可能性目前定价为42%。日本央行可能也会考虑加息,以稳定日本政府债券市场的长期收益率,30年期收益率在隔夜时达到了25年来的最高水平。(不过,收益率曲线的陡峭化对日本银行来说是个好消息,东证银行指数年初至今上涨了23%)。"

"鉴于我们的预测是美联储将在9月份重新启动宽松周期,目前美元/日元的上涨似乎不会持久。我们预计在148.75/149.10区域的涨幅将会减弱,并预计美元/日元将在9月份美联储会议前重新逼近146.00。"

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