铜市场的积极供应消息 – 德国商业银行
德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇和商品研究负责人阮氏秋兰指出,铜价仅短暂超过每吨11,000美元的关口。

德国商业银行(Commerzbank)外汇和商品研究负责人阮氏秋兰指出,铜价仅短暂超过每吨11,000美元的关口。

铜价进一步下行修正的可能性

“来自中国的疲弱经济数据以及印尼重要的格拉斯伯格矿山部分恢复运营的消息,给铜价带来了压力。尽管中国的工业生产与去年相比有所增长,但与前几个月相比,动能已经减缓。这同样适用于金属生产,这本身对铜价是积极的。”

“如果不是国内需求疲软,情况可能会有所不同。特别是房地产市场的再次下滑,给需求前景蒙上了阴影。强劲的生产与疲弱的国内需求的结合表明,中国将出口更多金属。路透社报道,行业消息来源也证实了这一点。预计10月份铜出口超过10万吨,这将使今年的总出口创下历史新高。”

“另一个原因是伦敦金属交易所(LME)铜价高企,鼓励了出口的增加。然而,库存的发展仅显示出中国供应的轻微增加。自本月初以来,库存仅略有上升。然而,如果这一趋势持续下去,可能会进一步推动铜价的下行修正。”

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