英镑/美元:任何上涨都不太可能明显突破1.3175 – 大华银行
英镑(GBP)可能进一步上涨,但任何上涨不太可能明显突破1.3175。从长远来看,英镑的疲软已经结束;它可能进一步恢复,但任何上涨可能只是1.3050/1.3220的更高区间的一部分,大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

英镑(GBP)可能进一步上涨,但任何上涨不太可能明显突破1.3175。从长远来看,英镑的疲软已经结束;它可能进一步恢复,但任何上涨可能只是1.3050/1.3220的更高区间的一部分,大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

英镑的疲软已经结束

24小时展望:“我们没有预料到英镑昨天会急剧上涨至1.3142的高点,因为我们预期会有盘整。英镑以1.3140的坚挺水平收盘,上涨0.67%。这种急剧而迅速的上涨似乎过度了。然而,英镑可能进一步上涨,但任何上涨不太可能明显突破1.3175。我们不预期主要阻力位在1.3230会显现。支撑位在1.3120;若跌破1.3095将表明英镑不会进一步上涨。”

1-3周展望:“自上个月底以来,我们对英镑持负面看法(如下图所示)。两天前(11月5日,现货在1.3025),我们指出英镑‘仍然是负面的,但进一步下行可能有限’。我们指出‘如果英镑突破1.3120(‘强阻力’水平),这将表明英镑的疲软已经结束’。昨天,英镑上涨并突破了1.3120。如前所述,两个星期前的疲软已经结束。从这里来看,英镑有机会恢复,但任何上涨可能只是1.3050/1.3220的更高区间的一部分。换句话说,英镑不太可能突破1.3220。”


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