英镑:英国11月国内生产总值(GDP)超出预期 – BBH
英国经济增长在11月份意外上行,实际GDP环比增长0.3%,服务业和制造业的增长推动了这一结果,尽管建筑业仍然疲软,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

英国经济增长在11月份意外上行,实际GDP环比增长0.3%,服务业和制造业的增长推动了这一结果,尽管建筑业仍然疲软,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

英国央行降息已被市场定价,政策空间仍然存在

"英国经济增长在11月份超出预期。实际GDP环比增长0.3%(市场共识:0.1%),而10月份为-0.1%,主要受服务业和生产的推动。服务业产出环比增长0.3%,而10月份为-0.3%;生产产出环比增长1.1%,而10月份为1.3%,这得益于制造业活动的强劲回升。建筑业仍然拖累经济,环比下降1.3%,而10月份为下降1.2%。"    

"领先指标显示英国经济活动疲软,实际GDP增长与英国央行(BOE)第四季度0.3%的环比预测相符。因此,英国央行有进一步放松政策的空间,这对英镑构成压力。英国掉期曲线完全定价未来十二个月内50个基点的降息至3.25%。"

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