在日本提前选举前,日元保持稳定 – 加拿大丰业银行
日本 yen(JPY)几乎没有变化,因为市场消化了日本提前选举的公告,保持了短期外汇波动的稳定。

日本 yen(JPY)几乎没有变化,市场正在消化日本宣布的快闪选举,短期外汇波动保持在可控范围内。随着利率市场仍在定价日本央行(BoJ)收紧政策,且政策会议即将召开,央行的语气将是日元下一步走势的关键,加拿大丰业银行首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

日本央行预期支撑日元

“日元保持稳定,在周一北美交易时段以微幅0.1%的涨幅进入,市场参与者正在评估2月8日召开的快闪选举的影响。”

“首相高市早苗希望在民意改善的背景下加强她的授权,提出的建议通常倾向于更宽松的财政政策。鉴于高市首相表达了对合作的偏好以及对央行独立性的软化,日本央行的反应将至关重要。”

“日本央行的加息预期仍然偏向于收紧,预计在7月之前至少会有一次25个基点的加息,到12月底几乎定价了50个基点。我们将密切关注本周五政策会议上日本央行语气的任何变化。”

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