钯金：供应缺口依然存在 – 德国商业银行

钯金：供应缺口依然存在 – 德国商业银行

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德国商业银行（Commerzbank）的卡斯滕·弗里奇（Carsten Fritsch）援引Metals Focus的报告称，钯金市场预计将在2026年连续第五年出现年度供应赤字。整体需求预计将略有下降，汽车需求大致保持稳定，电动出行尚未产生明显影响。

德国商业银行（Commerzbank）的Carsten Fritsch援引Metals Focus的报告称，钯金市场预计将在2026年连续第五年出现年度供应赤字。整体需求预计将略有下降，汽车需求大体保持稳定，尚未出现电动出行的显著影响。供应预计持平，矿山产量下降被更多的回收所抵消，而投资者对钯金的兴趣相较于铂金仍然低迷。

连续第五年赤字，需求持平

“根据Metals Focus的数据，钯金市场今年预计将出现376,000盎司的供应赤字。这将是连续第五年出现供应赤字。”

“钯金需求预计将下降1%至956万盎司，而来自汽车行业——钯金需求的主要来源——的需求预计将与去年基本持平。因此，预计电动出行不会导致需求出现明显下降。”

“钯金供应预计将保持在919万盎司左右，矿山产量的下降被回收量的增加所抵消。Metals Focus将钯金相较于铂金的价格折让归因于投资者对钯金兴趣较低。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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