布伦特：战争溢价推动涨势 – 丹斯克银行

布伦特：战争溢价推动涨势 – 丹斯克银行

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丹麦研究团队指出，中东紧张局势升级和美国政策信号提振了油价，布伦特原油在亚洲早盘交易中接近115美元/桶

丹麦研究团队指出，中东紧张局势升级和美国政策信号推高油价，布伦特原油在亚洲早盘交易中接近115美元/桶。团队将特朗普关于伊朗哈格岛的言论和五角大楼增兵联系为能源市场尾部风险上升的因素，并指出油价上涨正在影响全球增长情绪和风险资产。

伊朗战争升级推动油价跳涨

“中东紧张局势急剧升级，特朗普在《金融时报》采访中建议夺取伊朗哈格岛，该岛处理其90%的石油出口，这可能意味着从空袭转向直接控制资源。”

“鉴于伊朗先进的导弹和无人机能力以及固定资产的脆弱性，美国地面部署的考虑显著提升了尾部风险。”

“布伦特原油在亚洲早盘交易中上涨至约115美元/桶。”

“对油价持续上涨对增长影响的担忧主导了讨论，几乎是一场典型的风险规避行情，因需求破坏担忧而引发。”

“能源价格因伊朗局势再度升级风险而进一步上涨，加之央行在经济放缓背景下可能继续加息，这为固定收益和外汇市场定下了基调。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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