DXY:对石油冲击的避险反应有限 – 星展银行
星展银行(DBS)集团研究部的Philip Wee指出,尽管布伦特原油在2026年第一季度交易于100-120美元区间,美元指数(DXY)仍维持在其既定的96-101区间内。

星展集团研究部的Philip Wee指出,尽管布伦特原油在2026年第一季度交易于100-120美元区间,美元指数(DXY)仍维持在既定的96-101区间内。他将美元(USD)避险反应疲软归因于美联储(Fed)紧迫感减弱、相对于通胀的更紧缩政策以及对所谓特朗普交易的热情减退。

尽管油价飙升,美元仍区间震荡

“回顾自2026年初以来的更广泛趋势,美元指数(DXY)相比以往的能源冲击表现出意外的平静。”

“尽管布伦特原油在第一季度飙升至100-120美元区间,美元指数仍维持自2025年中以来设定的96-101区间。”

“我们注意到,在此次油价冲击期间,美元的避险地位明显低于2022年。”

“与2022年不同,美联储并不急于追赶由需求推动的通胀上升。”

“因此,美元指数并未急于突破100以上,受到美联储对利率采取观望态度的制约。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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