美元:就业增长预计将趋于正常 – 道明证券
道明证券(TD Securities)策略师预计4月份美国非农就业报告将显示就业增长的正常化,预测总体增加8万,市场共识为6.5万。他们认为医疗保健将引领行业增长,并预计失业率(UE)将维持在4.3%。

道明证券(TD Securities)策略师预计4月份美国非农就业报告将显示就业增长的正常化,预测总体增加8万,市场共识为6.5万。他们认为医疗保健将引领行业增长,并预计失业率(UE)将维持在4.3%。平均小时工资(AHE)预计将保持温和,环比增长0.2%,同比增长3.7%。

适度的就业增长与疲软的工资

“我们预计总体就业人数将显示出8万的正常化增长,其中私营部门增加8.5万,政府部门减少0.5万(市场共识:6.5万)。”

“行业构成可能与去年类似,就业增长主要由医疗保健支持。”

“我们还预计4月份失业率将维持在4.3%,继续显示劳动力市场的稳定信号(市场共识:4.3%)。”

“未四舍五入的失业率可能会略有上升。”

“我们预计平均小时工资环比保持温和增长0.2%(市场共识:0.3%),同比增长3.7%。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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