石油：霍尔木兹风险与更高价格路径 – BNY

石油：霍尔木兹风险与更高价格路径 – BNY

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BNY的Bob Savage报道，伊朗提出了一项美国协议，优先考虑重新开放霍尔木兹海峡并结束战争，核谈判被推迟。

BNY的Bob Savage报道，伊朗提出了一项优先重开霍尔木兹海峡并结束战争的美伊协议，核谈判被推迟。他指出，能源供应的持续中断推高了油价预期，随着地缘政治风险持续高企，布伦特油价在2026年底前维持在90美元/桶以上的观点正逐渐成为共识。

霍尔木兹提议支撑布伦特油价走强

“伊朗通过巴基斯坦调解人向美国提出了一项协议，优先重开霍尔木兹海峡并结束战争，核谈判推迟到后期阶段。这旨在绕过伊朗内部关于核让步的分歧。”

“伊朗外交部长阿巴斯·阿拉格奇已在巴基斯坦和阿曼进行会谈，预计将在莫斯科进行进一步讨论。美国尚未对该提议作出回应。”

“美国封锁将首先被解除，但这可能削弱美国对伊朗铀库存和浓缩暂停的影响力，而这正是特朗普政府的关键目标。”

“随着能源供应中断持续，油价预期正在上升。布伦特油价在2026年底前维持在90美元/桶以上正成为共识观点。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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