• The EUR/GBP trades within a tight 0.8650–0.8750 band amid France’s political turmoil and Britain’s stagnating job market.
• Macron’s meeting with opposition yields little progress; pension reform delay signals persistent instability in France.
• Investors eye diverging policy paths, with the ECB likely on hold while the BoE is seen cutting rates twice in 2026.                                

The EUR/GBP pair advances on Friday but remains shy of the 0.8700 figure after hitting a daily high of 0.8725 earlier during the European session. France's political turmoil and a stagnating economy in the UK could keep the cross-pair trading within familiar levels of 0.8650-0.8750.

Euro steadies as uncertainty in Paris offsets weak UK outlook and dovish BoE expectations

Market mood turned negative as US President Donald Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs on China, after the latter imposed export controls on rare earths.

Aside from this, the reunion between the opposing parties and French President Emmanuel Macron finished. France’s ecologist party’s Marine Tondelier said that Macron was ready to delay further application of pension reform. She added that she does not expect a premier from the left.

Meanwhile, Britain’s jobs market remains sluggish, as reported by a survey of recruitment companies. Uncertainty about UK public finances weighs on Sterling, as investors expect an increase in taxes so Chancellor Rachel Reeves could meet her fiscal targets.

From a central bank perspective, the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are expected to keep rates unchanged. Nevertheless, the former is expected to cut twice next year, while the ECB finished its easing cycle as confirmed by President Christine Lagarde, who said the disinflation process is over.

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The technical picture shows EUR/GBP might remain consolidating, even though the trend is slightly up. Bullish momentum diminished, and if sellers drive the pair below the 50-day SMA at 0.8677, they threaten to clear the latest cycle low seen at 0.8656, the October 8 low. A breach of the latter will expose 0.8600.

On the upside, if buyers claim 0.8700, they could test September’s high at 0.8751.