India: Softer CPI keeps RBI on hold – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that India’s CPI inflation under the rebased 2024 series rose to 2.8% year-on-year, driven mainly by food prices. He highlights that this places inflation back within the Reserve Bank of India’s 2%-6% target band, which should allow policymakers to keep rates unchanged at the April policy meeting.

Inflation back inside RBI target band

"In India, CPI inflation rose to 2.8%yoy under the rebased series (with 2024 as the base year), driven primarily by food inflation."

"This brings inflation back within the RBI’s 2%-6% target range and should allow the central bank to remain on hold at its next policy meeting in April."

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(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)