Pi Network Price Forecast: PI token rally holds steady amid rising CEXs inflows

CEXs' inflow, token unlocks add to supply risk

A surge in CEXs balance reserves signals an increase in potential supply pressure. PiScan data shows that the CEXs' wallet balance has increased by 6.28 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, to 419.94 million PI. This inflow increases the risk of supply pressure after the recent mainnet migration of 2.69 million users, which enabled token transfers to CEXs.

CEX's wallet balance. Source: PiScan

On the other hand, the PiScan token unlock schedule indicates that 119.93 million PI will be released in November. This unlock, coupled with rising inflows into CEXs, could intensify the headwinds facing the ongoing PI token recovery.

PI token unlock schedule. Source: PiScan

Pi Network eyes further gains above the 50-day EMA

Pi Network trades above the 50-day EMA at $0.2618, suggesting a potential breakout of the dynamic resistance that has held since May 21. A successful close above $0.2618 could extend the PI rally to $0.3220, marked by the August 1 low.

The momentum indicators on the daily chart signal a steady rise in buying pressure, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 65 is inching toward the overbought zone. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the signal line rise towards the zero line, aiming to cross into the positive territory as bullish momentum increases.

PI/USDT daily price chart.

On the flip side, a reversal from the 50-day EMA could retest the $0.1919 base, marked by the low of October 11.

Cryptocurrency prices FAQs

How do new token launches or listings affect cryptocurrency prices?

Token launches influence demand and adoption among market participants. Listings on crypto exchanges deepen the liquidity for an asset and add new participants to an asset’s network. This is typically bullish for a digital asset.

How do hacks affect cryptocurrency prices?

A hack is an event in which an attacker captures a large volume of the asset from a DeFi bridge or hot wallet of an exchange or any other crypto platform via exploits, bugs or other methods. The exploiter then transfers these tokens out of the exchange platforms to ultimately sell or swap the assets for other cryptocurrencies or stablecoins. Such events often involve an en masse panic triggering a sell-off in the affected assets.

How do macroeconomic releases and events affect cryptocurrency prices?

Macroeconomic events like the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates influence crypto assets mainly through the direct impact they have on the US Dollar. An increase in interest rate typically negatively influences Bitcoin and altcoin prices, and vice versa. If the US Dollar index declines, risk assets and associated leverage for trading gets cheaper, in turn driving crypto prices higher.

How do major crypto upgrades like halvings, hard forks affect cryptocurrency prices?

Halvings are typically considered bullish events as they slash the block reward in half for miners, constricting the supply of the asset. At consistent demand if the supply reduces, the asset’s price climbs.