澳元:动能指向兑美元走高——大华银行
大华银行(UOB)的何志良(Quek Ser Leang)和李秀安(Lee Sue Ann)指出,澳元/美元已突破 0.7015 的重要阻力位,价格走势延伸至 0.7021。未来 24 小时内,澳元预计将维持在较高的 0.6985–0.7025 区间内。

大华银行(UOB)的 Quek Ser Leang 和 Lee Sue Ann 指出,澳元/美元已突破 0.7015 的重要阻力位,价格走势延伸至 0.7021。未来 24 小时内,预计澳元将维持在较高的 0.6985–0.7025 区间。1–3 周内,快速动能表明有望升向 0.7045,而更广泛的 1–3 个月前景在 0.6835 下方仍偏负面。

短期看涨,中期谨慎

"24小时观点:两天前,澳元一度飙升至 0.6992 的高点。昨天,当澳元报 0.6975 时,我们强调了以下观点:"尽管这轮急涨看起来过度,但澳元仍有机会测试 0.6995。0.7015 的主要阻力位不太可能受到威胁。要维持这一动能,澳元必须守住 0.6945 上方,0.6960 附近有小幅支撑。"我们的方向性判断并没有错,但我们没有预料到澳元会如此大幅上涨并触及 0.7021 的高点。澳元可能会继续上涨,但严重超买的状况表明,任何进一步上行都可能被限制在更高的 0.6985/0.7025 区间内。"

"1-3周观点:虽然我们昨天(7月15日,现货报 0.6975)强调,"上行动能正在再次积聚,"但我们也指出,"现在判断澳元能否突破 0.7015 的重要阻力位还为时过早。"我们没有预料到澳元会跳升并突破 0.7015(高点为 0.7021)。动能的快速增强表明,澳元可能升向 0.7045。只要澳元守在 0.6950 上方,上行风险就将保持完好(昨天的‘强支撑’水平为 0.6930)。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并经编辑审核。 了解更多。

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