澳元:能源冲击威胁脆弱的消费 – 道明证券
道明证券(TD Securities)分析师强调,墨尔本研究所通胀指标创下月度涨幅纪录,使整体和修剪平均通胀率达到自 2008 年以来非新冠疫情期间的最高水平。与此同时,澳大利亚家庭支出增长温和,动能正在放缓。

道明证券分析师指出,墨尔本研究所通胀指标创下月度涨幅纪录,使整体和修剪平均通胀率达到自2008年以来非新冠疫情期间的最高水平。与此同时,澳大利亚家庭支出增长温和,动力正在放缓。他们警告称,在美伊战争爆发后油价上涨,将使未来几个月的支出风险偏向下行。

通胀飙升,支出动力放缓

“作为未来趋势的一个信号,整体通胀指标环比上涨1.3%,为该系列历史上最大月度涨幅,年率达到4.3%。”

“如果排除新冠疫情期间,年率为自2008年9月以来最高。”

“与此同时,修剪平均值环比上涨0.4%,核心年率上涨4.4%。”

“排除新冠疫情期间,这是自2008年7月以来最高的年修剪平均值。”

“2月份家庭支出环比增长0.3%(1月份为0.3%),年率增长4.6%。”

“动量指标显示,近几个月支出增长放缓,且在美伊战争爆发后油价大幅上涨的背景下,未来几个月的风险偏向下行。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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