德国：复苏前景推迟——德意志银行

德国：复苏前景推迟——德意志银行

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德意志银行经济学家马克·沙滕贝格指出，3月份ifo商业景气指数恶化，德国企业对预期变得更加悲观，而对当前状况的评估保持不变。

德意志银行经济学家马克·沙滕贝格指出，3月份ifo商业景气指数恶化，德国企业对预期变得更加悲观，而对当前状况的评估保持不变。他强调中东冲突对全球供应链和石化产品的风险，并预计德国经济原定于2026年的复苏将被大幅推迟。

商业情绪走弱，复苏被推迟

“不出意外，3月份ifo商业景气指数明显恶化。”

“鉴于能源价格冲击和不确定性认知的增加，企业预期较上月显著更为悲观。”

“然而，对当前形势的评估保持不变。”

“根据中东冲突的持续时间，未来几周全球供应链，尤其是石化产品的影响可能会更加明显。”

“我们原本预计2026年德国经济的复苏，现在很可能会被大幅推迟。”

（本文借助人工智能工具生成，并由编辑审核。）

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