Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds gains above $4,300 amid cautious markets
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a mildly positive tone on Tuesday, holding gains after rallying about 6.5% over the last few days.
  • Gold struggles to rally beyond $4,300 after rallying about 6.5% in the last three trading days.
  • Enthusiasm about the US-Iran peace has turned to caution, with markets awaiting details of the deal.
  • XAU/USD bulls are likely to face significant resistance around $4,400.

Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a mildly positive tone on Tuesday, holding gains after rallying about 6.5% over the last few days. The precious metal's recovery, however, has lost steam after crossing the $4,300 line and remains practically flat as the initial enthusiasm about the US-Iran peace deal faded, with investors awaiting details of the agreement and monetary policy decisions by major central banks.

US President Donald Trump said that the deal has already been signed and that the details might be released before Friday. Investors, meanwhile, await more clarity on factors such as traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which has sent global inflation soaring over the last three months, and Iran’s nuclear program, as the possibility of a re-escalation of the conflict has not been completely ruled out.

Apart from that, traders are also awaiting monetary policy decisions by some of the world’s major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The market will be eager to assess whether the peace deal has prompted policymakers to set aside plans for monetary tightening.

Technical Analysis: Gold's broader trend remains bearish

XAU/USD Chart Analysis



XAU/USD trades at $4,315, extending a corrective phase below a dense band of nearby resistances. Momentum indicators in the daily chart are picking up but not yet at bullish levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 43, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) holds in negative territory, suggesting downside pressure is still dominant despite the recent stabilization.

Gold bulls are likely to be tested around $4,400. A previous support area near $4,380 (May 27,28 lows) is likely to act now as resistance ahead of the descending trendline from January's peak, now around $4,430, and the key 200-day SMA, around $4,465. Further up, the target is the late-May highs, at the $4.590 area.

On the downside, Monday's low at the $4,260 area might provide support ahead of last week's low of $4,023. A bearish reaction below that level brings the late October 2025 level, at $3,888, into play.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)


More than a million users rely on FXStreet for real-time market data, charting tools, expert insights, and forex news. Its comprehensive economic calendar and educational webinars help traders stay informed and make calculated decisions. FXStreet is supported by a team of about 60 professionals, split between the Barcelona headquarters and various global regions.
Read More

LIVE QUOTES

Name / Symbol
Chart
% Change / Price
XBRUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
XTIUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
XAUUSD
1 D change
+0%
0

ALL ABOUT OIL

Explore More Tools
Trading Academy
Browse a wide range of educational articles covering trading strategies, market insights, and financial fundamentals, all in one place.
Learn More
Courses
Explore structured trading courses designed to support your growth at every stage of your trading journey.
Learn More
Webinar
Join live and on-demand webinars to gain real-time market insights and trading strategies from industry experts.
Learn More