加拿大:核心通胀趋势放缓,能源推高整体通胀 - 加拿大皇家银行
加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Abbey Xu指出,加拿大整体消费者物价指数(CPI)同比上涨至2.4%,主要受中东冲突导致的能源价格上涨和税收扭曲影响。

加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Abbey Xu指出,加拿大整体消费者物价指数(CPI)同比上涨至2.4%,主要受中东冲突导致的能源价格上涨和税收扭曲影响。然而,加拿大央行(BoC)的核心指标,包括CPI-平减和CPI-中值,显示基础通胀有所缓解。Xu认为,鉴于经济仍然疲软,这为加拿大央行提供了灵活性。

核心指标显示通胀趋势缓和

“整体CPI同比增长至2.4%,主要由中东冲突引发的能源价格上涨推动,但更广泛的基础通胀压力在表面下显示出进一步缓解的迹象。”

“相比之下,加拿大央行自身的核心通胀指标(排除了税收变化以及能源价格的剧烈波动影响)仍与基础通胀动能降温保持一致。”

“CPI-平减、CPI-中值以及剔除住房的服务类指标在三个月年化滚动平均基础上均为1.7%。”

“这标志着基础通胀压力逐步缓和趋势的延续,2026年以来,月度价格涨幅异常较大的产品比例也较低。”

“尽管部分组成部分,尤其是食品杂货价格和租金,仍远高于(约4%)去年同期水平,但3月份的报告强化了我们的观点,即近期油价上涨可能在短期内推高整体通胀,但不太可能重新点燃更广泛的通胀压力。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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