加拿大元:加拿大央行维持利率不变,美元兑加元看跌 – BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,美元/加元在测试六个月高点后有所回落,但仍有可能缓慢上涨至1.4140附近。

布朗兄弟哈里曼的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,美元/加元在测试六个月高点后有所回落,但仍有可能逐步上行至1.4140附近。加拿大央行普遍预计将维持利率不变并保持政策的灵活性,而加拿大受控的通胀环境使得尽管近期就业和GDP数据走强,仍可延长暂停加息的时间。

加拿大央行暂停加息为美元/加元上涨留出空间

“美元/加元在昨日测试六个月高点1.3969后回落。短期内,美元/加元有可能逐步上行至1.4140(2025年11月高点),因为加拿大央行(BOC)加息预期有调整下行的空间。”

“加拿大央行普遍预计将在第五次会议上将政策利率维持在2.25%不变(伦敦时间14:45;纽约时间9:45)。加拿大央行还准备坚持4月份引入的双向政策灵活性,即美国对加拿大的新贸易限制可能支持降息,但持续高企的能源价格可能需要‘连续加息’。”

“掉期曲线已充分反映未来十二个月内50个基点的加息预期。我们认为,加拿大受控的通胀环境为加拿大央行提供了维持利率不变的空间,以便评估5月份就业和4月份实际GDP的反弹是否持续。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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