加拿大:增长前景稳定,部分反弹——加拿大皇家银行(RBC)
加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Claire Fan和Abbey Xu预计,继12月份增长0.2%后,1月份加拿大GDP基本持平,疲软主要集中在汽车和住房领域,但被能源和零售行业所抵消。

加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Claire Fan和Abbey Xu预计,继12月增长0.2%后,1月加拿大GDP基本持平,疲软主要集中在汽车和住房领域,但被能源和零售所抵消。他们认为包括RBC信用卡数据和加拿大统计局初步数据在内的早期指标显示,2月将部分反弹,第一季度增长大致符合预期。

GDP停滞但复苏迹象显现

“与加拿大统计局的初步估计一致,我们预计1月GDP增长放缓至基本持平,继12月增长0.2%之后。”

“然而,早期指标显示,随着扰动消除,2月将出现部分反弹。”

“消费韧性似乎已延续至2月。”

“加拿大央行在3月会议上指出,第一季度1.8%年化GDP增长预测存在下行风险。”

“在1月疲软之后,随着汽车行业扰动缓解,2月和3月活动的改善应仍使增长总体符合我们对适度增长的预测。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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